Indian Rupee can rule the world instead of Dollar, not yet?
indian economy

03-Apr-2024, Updated on 4/3/2024 7:01:03 AM

Indian Rupee can rule the world instead of Dollar, not yet?

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Today, in the environment of global trade and finance, the leading position of the US dollar isn’t so obvious. On the contrary, the recent environment serves as an example of the changing pattern where countries like India strive to set their existence on the global currency market. The rupee of India, rising as an economic power, can bring about a change in the international monetary system by emerging as a crucial component. But the question remains: Can the Indian rupee take the dollar's dominant position and declare itself a new master of the monetary world? Let's explore.

Understanding the Current Landscape

For more than several decades, the US dollar has been the first choice of the economies of the world to take as the intermediary currency. The dominance of the Dollar in international transactions and among the depth of global markets that are quoted in Dollars helped the USD to cement its position. But the problems like sanctions are getting bigger and the competition from the alternative reserve currencies will increase in the future.

For instance, China, India, and some other developing nations are searching for a new currency system that would manage global trade transactions instead of the US dollars. Among China's efforts, the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) helps to intensify the internationalization. Likewise, India has registered progress in encouraging the utilization of the Indian rupee for border transactions, in particular within South Asia.

India's Economic Growth Trajectory

After the economic reforms in 1991, India experienced rapid economic growth that took it to the position of the third-largest economy worldwide. In today’s situation, it could be expected that it is going to be sustainable and go on with the promotion of development. It is this terrific growth that establish the solid base required for the globalization of the Indian rupee.

Although the Indian government has begun to give priority to using rupees for international trade, the Indian rupee is far from being widely acknowledged by the international community.

1. Economic Platform or Trade Imbalance

India's economy, to say the least, is growing but unfortunately still small scale and faces such as wide trade deficits. A small share in the export market reduces the motive of other nations to pick the Rupee as their reserve currency. Equalizing trade in the form of trade imbalances and boosting exports will be essential for increasing the global demand for the rupee.

2. Capital Account Convertibility

Complete convertibility through the market mechanism of the rupee is one way to globalize the currency. The Indian government has managed to achieve some success but has got to satisfy a set of conditions defined by mechanisms like the Tarapore Committee. Fiscal prudence, low inflation, and improvement of per capita income are the essential precondition for capital account convertibility.

3. Facing long-time Competitors

India's economic power cannot be compared to the EU or China; its economy is much smaller (both in wealth and trade). The move to internationalize the rupee faces competition from well-established currencies like the US dollar. Carefully planned and cautious integration into global markets of financial service providers is a crucial step in overcoming the problem.

The Path Forward

Swapping the US dollar in favor of the Indian rupee as a global reserve currency is a daunting task; however, India did set the stage for making this global financial arrangement a success for the upcoming decade. To realize this vision, India must focus on increasing the value of its currency through various measures:

1. Strengthening Economic Fundamentals

The country of India should persist with the making of a strong economy as well as a few ways to decrease the shortfall of trade and export competition. Tight fiscal discipline, a stable inflation rate, and prudent monetary policies would add more weight to the rupee as a stable currency and the destination for foreign inflows.

2. World Trade in Rupee.

The more trading partners will utilize rupee-focused invoicing and settlements the higher global demand for the Indian rupee will be. Developing relations with those nations who are keen on an alternative to USD as a reserve currency will further contribute to the rupee in terms of international outlook.

3. Enhancing Financial Infrastructure

Investments in financial infrastructure, like payment systems and currency swap contracts, will ensure smooth money and transactions flow in Indian rupees. Collaboration with both international financial institutions and regulatory bodies will fortify India's status as a trading currency.

Conclusion

While the Indian rupee has the power to be able to compete with the US dollar, the hope of success can be possible by the unification of all efforts and strategic plans. In those steps, if India can overcome several challenges and take advantage of economic power then Indian Rupee will be one of the main currencies in the world. The process that India undertakes to get rid of the US dollar may be tough, but India's pledge towards economic growth and financial sustainability puts it among the most promising candidates to play on the world stage.

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